Atlanta’s Construction Worry – Are We Building Too Fast?

Atlanta Peach BillboardLiving outside of Atlanta, you would never believe there is the risk that the new housing market could be in danger. Communities Magazine lists over 1200 subdivisions, townhouse and condominium units in production in the greater metro area. Now, we all know that Atlanta is a target city for relocations. It also has had a stable and modest property appreciation.

That is why I got nervous seeing the national picture over at Business Weeks Hot Property Blog. The inventory of unsold new homes doesn’t look too scary when you view it the conventional way, namely, in proportion to the rate of new-home sales. In November, the inventory added up to 4.9 months’ worth of new-home sales, vs. 4.3 months’ worth one year earlier.
But the inventory looks scarier when you look at the actual number of unsold homes–503,000, seasonally adjusted, in November. That’s up from around 350,000 in the early 1990s, the last time there was a glut.Peter Coy, Hot Property.

If the national projections start showing up in the Atlanta marketplace, we may see some severe carnage. I am going to do some digging and see what the numbers in Atlanta are showing and let you know what the reality is.

My guess, since many of the builders here are the large nationals, you will see price stability (trying to make up lost revenue in other parts of the country) till they panic, and then it could get ugly quickly.

Related posts:
  1. New Construction Seen At Bottom, Opportunities Arising For Builders
  2. High End Housing The Weak Spot in Housing Market
  3. Atlanta Looking To Sue Mortgage Lenders
  4. Relocating: Atlanta Named Top Destination By UHaul in 2008

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    • I like your analogy in this article. The real estate economy really is like a patient who you cannot ...
      Bill Hernandez | 19Mar10 | More
    • Real Estate is hyper-local. Every market is different. Phoenix has already hit bottom and is starting to recover. We have ...
      Marc Brodeur | 19Mar10 | More
    • Great to hear that the big boys are predicting recovery sooner than most think. Thanks for the value!
      Mark Arenella | 19Mar10 | More
    • I agree--good analogy. You have to crawl before you can walk. Right now, at least in Austin, many people would ...
      Austin Mortgage | 19Mar10 | More
    • an add on to my previous comment--I suppose nationally it's hard to tell, but each city and market is in ...
      Austin Mortgage | 19Mar10 | More
    • Hmm.....interesting. Of course, I would love to see the real estate market bounce back as quickly as possible, but just ...
      Austin Mortgage | 19Mar10 | More
    • I live in the Philippines and I am glad we are not on the lists...
      homes for sale in chandler az | 19Mar10 | More
    • I have a few Litograghs of Presidents homes , made by Richard V. Sebring. yr. 1990 Do they have any ...
      Jack | 18Mar10 | More
    • I see the question I have, but no response. I do not have a for sale sign up ...
      Judi | 18Mar10 | More
    • I'll add mine to the list too. This is happening in Kansas City, Missouri as well now. We already knew ...
      Trisha | 18Mar10 | More
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