Are Property Values Overvalued? This Analysis Shows Property Values Holding Steady

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Housing prices to GDP remain steady over timeI got an email this morning pointing me over to a very unique think piece by Captain Capitalism. Instead of taking the standard view of real estate that it is skyrocketing for no reason and the market is one of leaps and spurts, the good Captain looks at it through the prism of our Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per square kilometer. To put it in laymans terms, the growth in GDP per sq. km has risen so dramatically via technology and productivity that housing prices have risen in lockstep.

Top cities are more productive per square kilometer so they are worth more. This would explain Detroit housing prices dropping as productivity in the city is plummeting with the car industries misfortunes. While in New York the prices are still rising as the financial sector is posting huge gains.

Real GDP per sq. km. in the US has gone from just under $200,000 almost $1.3 million today. As technologies have advanced, managerial efficiencies invented and employed, we here in the US are able to squeeze out almost 7 times the amount of wealth from our land per square kilometer than we were just 50 years ago (quite identical to farming yields on a per acre basis).

It is this increase in wealth that we can extract from each square mile of our land that has truly increased our property values. However, combine the two, high levels of the production of wealth with high populations, and you get property that is most highly valued; cities.

It is no coincidence that New York, London, Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo etc. etc. have the highest property values in the world because not only do they have some of the largest populations, but they are also centers of commerce where disproportionate amounts of wealth are created. via Captain Capitalism

If you have a free moment today, take a look at the full post. While I can not confirm the analysis, it is a refreshing look at how the real estate industry works with the general economy.

Related posts:
  1. Property Values of Farm Real Estate Decline For The First Time Since 1987
  2. How Local Governments Will Not Lower Property Taxes When Property Values Drop

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    • I like your analogy in this article. The real estate economy really is like a patient who you cannot ...
      Bill Hernandez | 19Mar10 | More
    • Real Estate is hyper-local. Every market is different. Phoenix has already hit bottom and is starting to recover. We have ...
      Marc Brodeur | 19Mar10 | More
    • Great to hear that the big boys are predicting recovery sooner than most think. Thanks for the value!
      Mark Arenella | 19Mar10 | More
    • I agree--good analogy. You have to crawl before you can walk. Right now, at least in Austin, many people would ...
      Austin Mortgage | 19Mar10 | More
    • an add on to my previous comment--I suppose nationally it's hard to tell, but each city and market is in ...
      Austin Mortgage | 19Mar10 | More
    • Hmm.....interesting. Of course, I would love to see the real estate market bounce back as quickly as possible, but just ...
      Austin Mortgage | 19Mar10 | More
    • I live in the Philippines and I am glad we are not on the lists...
      homes for sale in chandler az | 19Mar10 | More
    • I have a few Litograghs of Presidents homes , made by Richard V. Sebring. yr. 1990 Do they have any ...
      Jack | 18Mar10 | More
    • I see the question I have, but no response. I do not have a for sale sign up ...
      Judi | 18Mar10 | More
    • I'll add mine to the list too. This is happening in Kansas City, Missouri as well now. We already knew ...
      Trisha | 18Mar10 | More
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