Survey Says Some Canadian Cities Face A 20 Percent Downturn in Price : The Real Estate Bloggers

Survey Says Some Canadian Cities Face A 20 Percent Downturn in Price

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Canada has been riding a nice wave compared to it’s neighbors to the south. The combination of a strong loonie and an oil boom in it’s western provinces has kept a decade long housing boom strong.

But according to experts from the UBC Sauder School of Business the Canadian housing market is heading for a correction. Like the United States housing boom, most of the country will be fine, but certain urban centers will be facing declines in the 20 percent range.

Add to the potential of a weaker loonie as the dollar strengthens and lower energy prices the Canadian economy may soon experience a rougher time.

The study warned that the potential for price declines is greatest in cities that have a large supply of unsold inventory or a mismatch between the number of units and the number of households ready to occupy them.

Somerville concluded that only in Toronto are prices in balance with rents. In Halifax, Montreal, Ottawa, Regina and Winnipeg prices would need to drop by at least 20 per cent to be in balance, while Calgary and Vancouver would require a 7 to 11 per cent drop in prices to reach the study’s equilibrium level. But the study found in Edmonton prices are actually below equilibrium, by 8 per cent

But the study also found Canada’s more conservative lending practices have prevented the speculative excess and severe downturn experienced in U.S. markets. via cbc

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    • It probably is a really good time to buy real estate - monthly payments are about equal to market rents ...
      Andy-Ann Arbor real estate | 20Nov08 | More
    • The part about the inventory is right on but in my area they are mostly low end and beat up ...
      Tom@duluth homes | 19Nov08 | More
    • I worked for this man, he is a great con man and has done this in more than States then ...
      Michelle | 19Nov08 | More
    • You're right. If you come from Central Jersey (as the Boss and I do), you go to Florida at some ...
      Rhea | 19Nov08 | More
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      Broderick Perkins | 19Nov08 | More
    • I couldn't agree more. The newspaper has always "stuck" it to the real estate agent with rates that were much higher ...
      Doug Quance | 18Nov08 | More
    • By the way, homeowners trying to get short sale approval should be aware that lenders are comparing the initial loan ...
      JM | 17Nov08 | More
    • Ouch! Thankfully I haven't come across anything like that yet. We normally don't have situations like that in ...
      Rochester MN Real Estate | 17Nov08 | More
    • well, the guy was here illegally. serves him right.
      ryan | 17Nov08 | More
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