The Sky Is Not Falling When Bad Bills Do Not Pass
If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to my RSS feed. Thanks for visiting!
Today’s actions by the House of Representatives spooked the market, no doubt about it. But the actions they proposed would have put the US Taxpayers behind the 8 Ball and allowed the stupidity of the Wall Street banks to go unpunished.
Sure the market dropping is not fun. 777 is a number for Vegas not the stock market (that is how much the Dow fell today.) But that is not the end of the world.
Economist Brian Wesbury, of whom I am turning into a big fan, has this to say.
The isolated storms in housing, finance and energy, are now being exaggerated by excessive government intervention (on a knee-jerk basis), mark-to-market accounting and panicky words from political leaders. As a result, consumers are pulling back, credit is being squeezed even to solid, well-run businesses and the economy is being threatened by this spreading panic.
The housing market has struggled, gas prices soared as oligarchs and despots have manipulated oil supply and a surging worldwide demand sucked up inventory. But the economy has not fallen into a recession even after the media has talked it down. In fact, Brian makes another great point.
Never in history has a drop in consumer confidence caused a recession. But that does not mean there won’t be a first time. It could happen in the next few months and we would expect to see some very negative data on economic activity. But this would be followed by an offsetting increase in activity following the psychological slowdown.
Productivity is still booming, and so are exports, the Fed is exceedingly accommodative and tax rates have not been hiked. Moreover, oil prices are below $100 per barrel. Finally, all it would take to fix financial market problems today is a temporary suspension of mark-to-market accounting for a targeted set of illiquid assets.
In other words, any economic problems that the US faces in the next few months or quarters is temporary. Financial markets have priced in Armageddon, and as a result still present one of the greatest buying opportunities of our lifetimes. via First Trust.
So Wall Street threw a hissy fit that they were not going to get the taxpayer pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. In the long term the country may be much better off without a 700,000,000,000 dollar liability.


Comment by Glenn on 30 September 2008:
I’ve been reading quite a bit about this “slow down due to Consumer confidence” Life Ionizers had the Internet Sales today ever; Consumer confidence in my experience and according to history is really a change in consumer interest. History shows us that in Low Market periods (including the great depression) spending rose in many areas (entertainment, health, advertising etc). So the Apple drop, the Google drop and the Amazon drop are all fleeting figments of panic, and just like a few weeks ago, Google, Apple and Amazon will all climb back to their original positions.
So while this panic is going on, I’m going to drink some alkaline water, download some music to my iPhone and go see a movie, just like most of America is doing tonight.
Comment by Tony Sena on 30 September 2008:
I am just not sold on bailing out wallstreet because of some bad investments that were made. However, if stocks continue to drop, it will affect the retirement of many Americans.
Pingback by Priority One News! » Worth Your Read…. on 30 September 2008:
[...] And one more. [...]
Comment by Seanster on 3 October 2008:
There’s nothing much we can do about that these days. Like past incidences though, one thing’s sure, we’ll recover.