Economic and Housing Fears Stoked By Media and Hive Mentality

Banging_head_against_wallThe times are tougher than they have been in a while, but an interesting article in the New York Times explains the irrationality of the fears for most and the damage this causes.

Instead of taking a look at ones personal situation, we are driven to distraction by the fears of our neighbors, or more likely the guy a couple of blocks over, in our decision making. The mass mentality of tightening up, or the hive effect, is making the downturn much worse than it probably should be.

Like the builders who all kept building when things were going well because their competitor was, we are now laying off and cutting back when there is no real need. Go read the article, it will not change anything, but it does explain the mentality of American’s as a whole right now.

“When everyone is talking about recession, we all feel like something has to change, even if nothing has changed for us,” said Dan Ariely, author of “Predictably Irrational,” a book that explains why people do things that defy explanation. “The media messages that are repeating doom and gloom affect every one, not just people who really have trouble and should make changes, but people who are fine. That has a devastating effect on the economy.”

With unemployment, auto sales, home foreclosures and consumer confidence all benchmarking historic levels of distress, news outlets are hardly making it up. But the machinery of the economy began to freeze in place far more quickly than it has in the past, in part because so much scary data is circulating so much faster than it used to. This recession got deeper faster because we knew more bad stuff quickly. via NYTimes.com.

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  3. Housing Plan Stuck, National Recovery In Hands of Real Estate Market
  4. How Washington’s Housing Rescue Plan is Hurting Housing Sales
  5. Why We Might See Another Housing Slowdown if FHA Loans Blow Up

There Is 1 Response So Far. »

  1. This is the perfect example of what’s fundamentally different between this downturn and what we experienced in the 70’s, or even the 30’s. Yes, things are bad. We’ve got a rough time ahead, but what’s different now is how connected we all are. Markets are inherently emotional, and we operate of the hive mind now more than ever. It’s not the smartest thing, especially when the prevailing news is negative. Hive mind has it’s benefits. But it’s still important to unplug and take time to review your own thoughts, form your own damn opinions from time to time!

    NPR reported recently that supposedly we’re way more negative about the economy than we were in the 80’s, when unemployment was way higher and interest rates were in the double digits. It’s the internet, man :) The cloud is dumbing us down!

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