Homebuilder Still Have Bleak Outlook On New Housing Sales

by Tom Royce on March 17, 2009


BuilderHomebuilders are not optimistic that new home sales will be turning around anytime soon. The Builder’s Index remained unchanged from February’s rating of 9. To put this in perspective, a rating of 50 has homebuilders considering the market is poor. Right now they are closer to moribund and destitute.

It is almost hard to believe 4 short years ago builders were raising their prices weekly in many markets across the country. Now they are just trying to survive and hang on.

“There’s a lot of fear and a lot of people sitting on the fence,” Bernie Mark, an economist at the builders group, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. He said the association is “hopeful things will loosen up in coming months,” and forecasts the housing market to “bottom around the middle of this year.”

The builder confidence index was expected to hold at 9 this month, according to the median estimate of 41 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Projections ranged from 8 to 11. The index dropped to a record low of 8 in January.  Bloomberg.com.

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{ 9 comments… read them below or add one }

Woodstock real estat March 17, 2009 at 5:58 am

I think it's safe to say that with all of the existing homes on the market, the new ones offer little to no value. As long as their is 100s of thousands vacant homes scattered across the country I think they will be in the same predicament. Hopefully things will even out in 2010 and new homebuilders can start making money again.

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Portland Real Estate March 17, 2009 at 8:14 am

Yeah, I know some builders that are not doing too well these days. Though I do have to say that many of these guys had it coming to them, they had business plans that were completely unsustainable with the slightest market downturn. The guys that went green early and thought about sustainability are hurting, but they still have work unlike the other guys.

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Brandon March 17, 2009 at 10:53 am

CNN reported good news on the homebuilding front this morning.

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Nikki March 18, 2009 at 7:13 am

I have some friends in the industry who are complianing now and that how better life was for them before. With the house market though it's hard to imagine hard days like what we're facing now.

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Beaufort SC Real Est March 19, 2009 at 4:48 pm

There's no wonder home builders are doing so poorly. There is overstock and current homes on the market are still overpriced. The only good news is that building material cost have fallen, making it cheaper to now build a home than buy one.

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Brendan from San Mat March 20, 2009 at 11:13 am

It must depend on where you are from. A lot of my clients are builders. It seems just as realtors that builders are having to change the way they do things. Builders who are stepping up marketing and sales tactics are still doing fine.

Also, a big thing in my area is a lot of builders are getting certified for Green building which is opening up lots of new markets.

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San Diego Property M March 24, 2009 at 9:35 pm

I agree with the cautious approach. Trimming back on traditional marketing expenses while becoming more creative on the grass roots efforts will pay dividends in the short term.

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Tom Murtagh September 14, 2009 at 8:41 am

We are trying to market out site effectively but with as little money out of pocket as possible. It seems consistency is the most important thing.

Tom
http://www.ownercarryit.com

Website devoted to seller financing.

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Bob September 14, 2009 at 2:37 pm

Consistency is the only way. I have a daily schedule that is adhered to religiously regarding blogging and site marketing. Paying someone else to do it, at least initially, is a little risky. Besides who cares more about your business than you.

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