Trillion Dollars of Commercial Real Estate Loans Coming Due?

From 2010 to 2013 about 1,000,000,000,000 dollars of commercial real estate loans are coming due. For those of you who are numerically challenged, this is 1 trillion dollars. Not a million, not a billion, a trillion dollars. A thousand billion or a hundred thousand million dollars.

Some of this money should roll over, but there is a great deal of securitized commercial loans that will not be renewed. What will these developers do?

That is the question that should keep anyone involved in commercial real estate up at night.

And the most dangerous time for banks will be 2010 to 2013 when $1 trillion in commercial real estate loans will mature and — like homeowners before them — owners of commercial properties will need to refinance.

Blumberg estimates that $236 billion in commercial real estate loans that were turned into securities will need to be refinanced in this period and that $67 billion of that amount “will be lost.”

“We are on the brink of one of the worst commercial real estate financing markets ever,” he said. via  New York Post.

Related posts:
  1. Alert The Media – Banks Are Making Commercial Real Estate Loans
  2. Quarter of All Commercial Loans Coming Due in Next 4 Years Underwater
  3. 3.3 Trillion Dollars In Property Values Lost In 2008
  4. Now Developers Need A Bailout As Loans Come Due
  5. John Hancock Tower Sale Scares Commercial Real Estate Market

There Are 7 Responses So Far. »

  1. Wow… it should be interesting to see how that turns out.

  2. It is anticipated that a significant portion of these loans facing major balloon risk will be restructured through bankruptcy. After that, lenders might start easing up on their terms and circumvent the lawyers. Beyond that, many will fail and simply close up shop leaving their creditors high and dry. Opportunity funds may play a big role in recovering from this.

  3. This is good and bad. Good for investors looking for long term investments bad for the overall value of CRE.

  4. I wish I had some serous money to buy up the great deals

  5. Wow. That coul be one heckuva big default!

  6. It was a terrible system in the first place, it does not surprise me in the slightest that there is going to be some backlash over this.

  7. [...] Source: NY Post via Real Estate Bloggers [...]

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