I found this chart at the Wall Street Journal comparing how the different indexes recorded the real estate boom and bust cycle since 2000.
It is interesting how the different indexes diverges. Case Shiller measures cities which were hit harder by speculation and fraud while the Federal Housing index is more nationwide.

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Keeping track of charts helps some "predict" future trends. I wonder where we can get more info on chartists who are accurate?..anyway, watching fundamentals is another way. Using both systems should give you a good idea.
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Thanks
I’ve feel like a good place to find deals in this market/economic times are government auctions, any thoughts on these? I’ve recently found a site that conglomerates the different auctions into one source however you’ve need to pay an annual fee ($40). Personally I felt like this investment was a small price to pay to be able to see all the properties in one place.
I agree with the person above that actions are a great place to find cheap real estate. I have found a few deals through actions.